The San Francisco Department of Elections moments ago released the results of another 6,923 ballots, crossing the 400,000-vote plateau. The total of processed ballots is now 403,466: 77.25 percent of the electorate.
Perhaps 9,600 ballots remain. Of these, only 1,100 are vote-by-mail ballots, and 8,500 are provisional ballots cast throughout the city and at City Hall on Election Day. Scrutinizing provisional ballots requires additional time, and not all may be accepted.
If every provisional ballot is accepted — which is not probable — turnout would peak at 79 percent (late-arriving mail ballots have pushed up the potential vote ceiling). That’s still a significant drop from 2020, when 86.3 percent of registered voters cast a ballot.
Let’s dive right into the only two remaining contested races: District 11 supervisor, and the fourth and final open spot on the Board of Education:
In District 11, Chyanne Chen is still leading with 11,957 votes to Michael Lai’s 11,765 — just a 192-vote difference. Lai gained 12 votes compared to yesterday.
While this is a slim margin, there are very few outstanding votes left to count in District 11.
“Most of the provisional ballots for D11 are now reviewed and processed and those votes are included in the preliminary results reports,” Elections Director John Arntz told Mission Local on Thursday. “The remaining provisional ballots are nearly all from districts besides D11.”
With hardly any provisional ballots remaining to be counted in District 11, the only outstanding votes are the 1,100 vote-by-mail ballots. But these hail from all 11 districts.
Chen’s lead continues to be fueled by the district’s third-place finisher, Ernest “EJ” Jones. According to the latest results today, 2,829 of Jones’ votes transferred to Chen and 1,563 went to Lai.
In the Board of Education race, Matt Alexander, the incumbent Board President, is clinging to a slim lead on John Jersin for the fourth and final open seat by 298 votes — 156 fewer than yesterday. Alexander has 121,167 votes, while Jersin is at 120,869 votes after today’s results.
The winner will return to the board with the three top vote-getters: Jaime Huling, Parag Gupta and Supriya Ray, three newcomers who are poised to take office in January.
The next election update is slated for Saturday at 4 p.m.
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