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Connie Chan, Myrna Melgar bound for victory.

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The San Francisco Department of Elections moments ago released the results of an additional 17,333 ballots. That brings the grand total of processed ballots to 382,292 — 73.2 percent of the electorate

There are now very few ballots remaining — perhaps 24,700. Of those, 6,700 are late-arriving vote-by-mail ballots and some 18,000 are provisional ballots cast at citywide polling places (which may or may not ultimately be accepted). Turnout is tracking to be about 77.8 percent, maximum. The average San Francisco turnout in a presidential year, going back 108 years, is 77 percent. 

Around 43,000 fewer San Franciscans figure to have cast a ballot in 2024 than they did four years ago. 

On to the contested Board of Supervisors races:

Four people stand together on a city street, smiling and holding campaign signs for Connie Chan.
District 1 Supervisor Connie Chan takes a photo with supporters on Nov. 5, 2024. Photo by Junyao Yang.

In District 1, Connie Chan now sits 1,167 votes ahead of Marjan Philhour. While this race was, brain-meltingly, tied on Thursday — 11,001 votes apiece — every subsequent vote drop pushed this further in Chan’s direction. 

This result, and margin of victory, caught the city’s political establishment off guard. Chan only beat Philhour by 125 votes in 2020, and 2022 saw conservative precincts grafted into the district. On its face, the outcome is counterintuitive. But Chan’s campaign felt it would have benefitted four years ago from the in-person, door-knocking campaign it ran in 2024 — but couldn’t during the pandemic. 

Labor campaigned heavily on Chan’s behalf in District 1. It does not seem to be a coincidence that Philhour — a former fundraiser and senior adviser to Mayor London Breed — suffered for her ties to the mayor. Breed did not win a single precinct in District 1, and no candidate running for office in this cycle was more closely tied to her than Philhour.  

Two men are having a conversation in a dimly lit room with orange walls. There's a chair and table nearby, and balloons are visible in the background.
Scott Weiner stops by to show support on Election Day. Photo by Julia Gitis.

In District 5, incumbent Dean Preston yesterday conceded the race to Bilal Mahmood — though he did not mention Mahmood in his online posting. 

After today’s results, Mahmood leads Preston after ranked-choice tabulations by just over 1,400 votes. While most of this cycle’s winning candidates heavily outperformed the competition in first-place votes, the incumbent Preston did not. He only garnered 291 more than Mahmood, and then was swamped by an overwhelming transfer rate from candidates Scotty Jacobs and Autumn Looijen to Mahmood. 



Source: missionlocal.org

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