The San Francisco Department of Elections moments ago released the results of an additional 35,979 ballots. That brings the grand total of processed ballots to 325,114 — 62.3 percent of the electorate.
There are, perhaps, 81,000 ballots remaining. The ceiling on turnout appears to be about 77.8 percent, just a shade higher than the 77 percent historical average in presidential contests going back to 1916.
On to the contested Board of Supervisors races
Thursday’s ballot drop resulted in the mathematical oddity of District 1 incumbent supervisor Connie Chan and challenger Marjan Philhour both having exactly 11,001 votes.
The race continues to trend Chan’s way. After being up by 262 votes yesterday, today’s vote drop saw her lead rise to 558. Four years ago, Chan bested Philhour by fewer than 200 votes. Two years ago, the affluent Seacliff neighborhood was grafted into District 1 during the contentious redistricting process. For Chan to — possibly — win in 2024 by a greater margin than in 2020 was not an expected outcome.
Thousands of votes remain to be counted and this race is still a tight, 51-49 tilt.
In case you were wondering, per Elections Director John Arntz, the official method of settling a tied vote in a Board of Supervisors race is a “drawing of lots” — that is, drawing long or short straws.
In District 5, Incumbent Dean Preston stagnated in his race against top challenger Bilal Mahmood. While Preston has more first-place votes than Mahmood — 9,751 to 9,581 — the polarizing incumbent is being swamped in the transfers. After ranked-choice voting permutations, Mahmood leads by 1,307 votes. That’s 20 votes more than Friday.
While a goodly number of votes are outstanding, every subsequent tranche of votes has not helped Preston mitigate his deficit. This pattern could reverse in the coming days, but there’s no logical reason to expect it should. Preston is running out of runway.
In District 7, Supervisor Myrna Melgar added a shade under 100 votes to her lead over political newcomer Matt Boschetto and is now ahead by nearly 1,600. Like Preston, challenger Boschetto is running out of electorate with which to mitigate his deficit.
In District 11, Chyanne Chen has caught and passed Michael Lai. She is now 99 votes up on Lai after having trailed by 136 yesterday. In every subsequent tranche of votes, Chen has cut into Lai’s lead before leapfrogging him today.
This contest remains tighter than tight.
In Districts 3 and 9 Danny Sauter and Jackie Fielder continue to hold nigh-insurmountable leads.
In the Board of Education race, top vote-getters Jaime Huling, Parag Gupta and Supriya Ray will be taking office in January. In the battle for the fourth and final slot newcomer John Jersin is only 1,162 votes ahead of incumbent board president Matt Alexander (100,289 to 99,127). Alexander gained 988 votes in today’s count after gaining 1,100 in yesterday’s. He has gained just shy of 4,000 votes on Jersin since the initial vote drop on Tuesday.
We have a race.
There were 15 ballot measures put before San Francisco voters in this election. There are no significant changes. The lavishly funded Prop. D continues to spiral into the city’s political septic tank, and is now being rejected by 56 percent of the electorate. Its scantly funded countermeasure, Prop. E, looks to be pulling ahead; it now has 52 percent of the vote and is up by 11,390 votes
Prop. F, a police pension measure, continues to be submerged with 54.2 percent of voters inveighing against it. Prop. H, a fire pension measure, is clinging to a 51.7 percent approval rate (at least endorsee Rep. Nancy Pelosi won something this cycle).
Prop. K, the polarizing measure to close portions of the Great Highway, continues to sit strong. A shade over 54 percent of voters are now in favor of shutting down the roadway — a bulge of 28,402 votes.
Mayor London Breed conceded the race on Wednesday and Daniel Lurie on Thursday claimed victory. After today’s ballot drop and ranked-choice voting permutations, Lurie leads by just over 30,000 votes (55.7 percent to 44.3 percent).
The next updates will come on Sunday at 4 p.m. and Monday at 4 p.m.
About the author
BlackRock Takes Aim at Money Market ETFs
BlackRock Inc. is launching two money market ETFs, tapping into the $6.6 trillion industry that has swelled amid high-interest rates, though the timing may prove challenging as the Federal Reserve begins to ease policy. The world’s largest asset manager is seeking approval for the iShares Government Money Market ETF and iShares Prime Money Market ETF, according to regulatory filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The proposed ETF would offer investors the ability to trade throughout the day, unlike traditional money market funds. However, they won’t maintain the stable $1 net asset value that conventional money market funds provide. The launch timing could prove crucial for the fund’s success, according to Aniket Ullal, head of ETF research at CFRA. He notes that two years ago would have been ideal for such products, when rising rates were driving investors towards money […]
Yes, You CAN Get Your Home Holiday-Ready On a Budget!
Deck the bells with boughs of holly, fa-la-la-la la la la laaaa! ‘Tis the season to be jolly, fa-la-la-la la la la laaaa! Of all the things going on at the moment, the holidays are the perfect time to don your gay apparel and enjoy as much of the holiday season as you can. It’s true that we may not be able to have large family gatherings right now, but that doesn’t mean you cannot get your home holiday ready – meaning decorating your home with boughs of holly and other decorations. Since money may be tight due to the current circumstances the country is enduring, you’re probably a little reluctant to buy new holiday decor. That’s totally understandable! Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered! Here are a few ideas that will get your home ready for the holidays without […]
District 1 Sup Connie Chan cruising to re-election; up by 1167 votes
Progressive District 1 supervisor Connie Chan is on track to defeat her moderate challenger Marjan Philhour, after today’s vote drop put her up by 1,167 votes at 51.75 percent. This likely concluded the most expensive supervisor race this year, as moderate groups saw Chan as particularly vulnerable because she beat Philhour by just 125 votes in their last contest in 2020. Almost $2.5 million was spent in the District 1 race. But it appears that Chan’s advantage has only improved. As of Nov. 11, Chan led, 17,232 to 16,065 after ranked-choice tabulation. About 34,000 votes were already counted in District 1. There were approximately 24,700 votes citywide to be counted, but the math is not there for Philhour. The race was expected to be extremely close — the two leading candidates were tied at 11,001 votes apiece after the Thursday results update — […]
Shell wins appeal against landmark ruling to cut emissions
STORY: Shell has won an appeal against a landmark climate order for it to cut greenhouse gas emissions. The appeals court in The Hague dismissed the 2021 ruling that Shell must cut its absolute carbon emissions by 45% by 2030, relative to 2019 levels. That included emissions caused by the use of its products. The case had been brought Friends of the Earth Netherlands, known as Milieudefensie. But presiding judge Carla Joustra said Shell was already on its way to meet required targets for its own emissions. "Shell has set a specific reduction target for scope 1 and 2 that means its scope 1 and 2 emissions will be reduced by 50% by 2030 compared to 2016. Furthermore, it follows from the documents provided by Shell that it had already achieved a 31% reduction by 2023. So Shell is already […]
The Best Low Carb Cranberry Sauce (Keto, Paleo, Diabetic Friendly)
You can’t have a proper Thanksgiving dinner without a beautiful, ruby-colored cranberry sauce on the table. And while the canned versions are what I grew up on, nothing compares to making your own. Once I realized how quick and easy it is I never turned back. And now that I can make it low-carb it’s even better! Watch The Best Ever Low Carb Cranberry Sauce How-To Video Below! It may be hard to believe, but traditional cranberry sauce recipes usually have quite a bit of added sugar. And for good reason. Cranberries have only 4 grams of natural sugar per cup and desperately need something to balance out their extreme mouth-puckering tartness. Sugar, or rather the sweetness of sugar, is what turns those beautiful little tart red berries into something edible. But for this recipe, we’re kicking sugar and […]
Connie Chan, Myrna Melgar bound for victory.
The San Francisco Department of Elections moments ago released the results of an additional 17,333 ballots. That brings the grand total of processed ballots to 382,292 — 73.2 percent of the electorateThere are now very few ballots remaining — perhaps 24,700. Of those, 6,700 are late-arriving vote-by-mail ballots and some 18,000 are provisional ballots cast at citywide polling places (which may or may not ultimately be accepted). Turnout is tracking to be about 77.8 percent, maximum. The average San Francisco turnout in a presidential year, going back 108 years, is 77 percent. Around 43,000 fewer San Franciscans figure to have cast a ballot in 2024 than they did four years ago. On to the contested Board of Supervisors races: District 1 Supervisor Connie Chan takes a photo with supporters on Nov. 5, 2024. Photo by Junyao Yang. In District 1, Connie Chan now sits […]
Related
District 1 Sup Connie Chan cruising to re-election; up by 1167 votes
Progressive District 1 supervisor Connie Chan is on track to defeat her moderate challenger Marjan Philhour, after today’s vote drop put her up by 1,167 votes at 51.75 percent. This likely concluded the most expensive supervisor race this year, as moderate groups saw Chan as particularly vulnerable because she beat Philhour by just 125 votes in their last contest in 2020. Almost $2.5 million was spent in the District 1 race. But it appears that Chan’s advantage has only improved. As of Nov. 11, Chan led, 17,232 to 16,065 after ranked-choice tabulation. About 34,000 votes were already counted in District 1. There were approximately 24,700 votes citywide to be counted, but the math is not there for Philhour. The race was expected to be extremely close — the two leading candidates were tied at 11,001 votes apiece after the Thursday results update — […]
Connie Chan, Myrna Melgar bound for victory.
The San Francisco Department of Elections moments ago released the results of an additional 17,333 ballots. That brings the grand total of processed ballots to 382,292 — 73.2 percent of the electorateThere are now very few ballots remaining — perhaps 24,700. Of those, 6,700 are late-arriving vote-by-mail ballots and some 18,000 are provisional ballots cast at citywide polling places (which may or may not ultimately be accepted). Turnout is tracking to be about 77.8 percent, maximum. The average San Francisco turnout in a presidential year, going back 108 years, is 77 percent. Around 43,000 fewer San Franciscans figure to have cast a ballot in 2024 than they did four years ago. On to the contested Board of Supervisors races: District 1 Supervisor Connie Chan takes a photo with supporters on Nov. 5, 2024. Photo by Junyao Yang. In District 1, Connie Chan now sits […]
Dean Preston concedes likely defeat in San Francisco’s District 5
Tech entrepreneur and “YIMBY” candidate Bilal Mahmood is poised to unseat District 5 supervisor Dean Preston, San Francisco’s only democratic socialist now serving on the board. In the most expensive district race, political opposition groups lavishly funded the effort to “Dump Dean.” Though some 42,000 additional citywide votes are still uncounted, Preston on Sunday evening acknowledged his dwindling chances to mitigate his vote deficit and seemed to concede the race.“I’ve spent a lifetime fighting for underdogs, often against the odds,” Preston said in a statement to Mission Local. “I wouldn’t change a minute of it. We can’t win every battle, but we’ll continue the fight.”Though Preston has continued to gain on Mahmood in first-place votes, Mahmood has maintained a lead when ranked-choice selections are counted, putting him more than 1,300 votes ahead of Preston with 52.7 percent. “I think it’s representative of […]
Chan, Chen pad leads; Preston in a tight spot
The San Francisco Department of Elections moments ago released the results of an additional 39,845 ballots. That brings the grand total of processed ballots to 364,959 — 69.9 percent of the electorate. There are, perhaps, 41,000 ballots remaining. Turnout is down statewide and San Francisco is no exception. Some 86 percent of registered voters showed up in 2020. This year, the ceiling is hovering at around 77.8 percent. The average San Francisco turnout in a presidential year, going back to 1916 — when San Franciscans helped send Woodrow Wilson back to the White House because, you know, he kept us out of war — is 77 percent. On to the contested Board of Supervisors racesIn District 1, incumbent Connie Chan has pulled out of a dead heat as of Thursday’s counting to hold a sizable lead over Marjan Philhour. Chan now leads by 976 votes.This […]
Aaron Peskin didn’t win the election. But his propositions sure did.
San Francisco Board of Supervisors president, mayoral candidate, and wildly prolific legislator Aaron Peskin lost the election to Daniel Lurie, a wealthy candidate with zero legislative experience. But his three main ballot initiatives are winning and will, barring unforeseen lunacy, pass into legislation. Here’s the story of how they made it. Prop. CCreating a position for an inspector general with the power to investigate government and city contractor fraud, waste, abuse or misconduct would seem like a tough measure to oppose. It didn’t require any new funding, every single member of the Board of Supervisors voted to put it on the ballot, and corruption scandals have been breaking at a steady clip for years. But GrowSF, TogetherSF Action and the San Francisco Democratic Party all came out against it. It got 60 percent of the preliminary vote anyway. Partly that’s because Peskin […]
Video: S.F. Target security guard took cash from man, Tased and beat him
After Mission Local reported on a Target security guard beating San Francisco resident Shan Bowerman with a baton last week, additional onlooker video reveals what precipitated that beating: The guard, holding a Taser to Bowerman’s chest, forcibly took his money while he protested loudly. The guard Tases Bowerman in the video, takes the money — a few hundred dollars of a welfare payment by Bowerman’s reckoning — then strikes him in the face with the Taser. No one was arrested in the incident, but Bowerman was treated in an ambulance. The new footage obtained by Mission Local today corroborates Bowerman’s claims last week that the security guard had intervened in a dispute he had with his girlfriend, forcibly took the money from him, Tased him and then handed the wad of bills to Bowerman’s purported girlfriend. The video could lead to assault charges against […]
Be the first to leave a comment